Luxury Neighbourhoods In Canadas Largest Markets Show Significant Price Appreciation Over Last 10 Years

July 15, 2016 - Updated: July 15, 2016

Message from the Broker, Andrew Zsolt


[Continued from a previous issue of the Terrequity Realty Insider]

 



You can view a larger image of the Carriage Trade Infographic here:

Canada’s luxury residential real estate market has seen a notable increase in foreign buyer[1] activity over the last ten years, according to a survey of real estate advisors released in the Royal LePage Carriage Trade Luxury Properties Report.



Regional Market Summaries



In British Columbia, 83 per cent of real estate advisors surveyed believe that luxury property sales activity has increased since January 2015 and 76 per cent believe activity will continue to increase over the remainder of 2016. Seventy-nine per cent of advisors polled say foreign buying activity has increased since January 2015, with buyers from China dominating these purchases (95 per cent of advisors selected China as one of the top three countries from which buyers originate).


“We believe international interest is a significant factor driving price increases in the area, as foreign buyers view Vancouver as a ‘dream-city’, as it is so beautiful. When visiting the region, they instantly fall in love,” said Jason Soprovich, real estate agent, Royal LePage Sussex. “The typical luxury property buyers in Vancouver are affluent, business-oriented and well-educated couples, and the region will always be one of the most sought-after in the world.”
 

The housing market in Alberta is currently depressed, with low oil prices leading to increased unemployment and decreased consumer confidence. Of the real estate advisors surveyed in the province, 60 per cent believe luxury property sales activity has decreased since January 2015, and 64 per cent believe that it will continue to decrease over the remainder of the year. With that said, Calgary has seen a healthy increase in the average price of a luxury property over the past ten years, appreciating 61 per cent from 2005 to 2015.
 

“Unit sales in the luxury category have dropped slightly from last year’s level,” said John Hripko, real estate agent, Royal LePage Benchmark. “Recently however, oil prices have inched higher, giving some agents and homeowners a renewed sense of optimism, causing inquiries for luxury properties in the $1 million to $2 million range to pick up. Demand for luxury properties above that price range has been slower, but consistent with the pace seen in 2015.”
 

The luxury residential real estate market in Ontario is strong, with increases in prices driven in part by an extreme lack of inventory in the region. Real estate advisors have seen a long-term trend in sales activity, with 76 per cent of advisors saying that they have seen increased activity since January 2015, and 88 per cent saying that they have seen increased activity since 2005. Sixty-nine per cent of advisors surveyed said that there has been an increase in foreign buyer activity over the same 10-year period, and the top three most commonly cited factors motivating foreign buyers to buy in Ontario were: (1) a stable real estate market; (2) a stable financial system; and (3) a stable political system.
 

The look of luxury real estate has changed due to overall price appreciation,” said Cailey Heaps Estrin, sales representative, Royal LePage Real Estate Services Ltd., Heaps Estrin Team. “Ten years ago, a $2 million house in the Toronto market sounded expensive but is now much more common. Toronto’s typical luxury property purchaser can be described as a successful local buyer looking to upsize and secure a new family home or an international buyer who wants to enter the Toronto market. In most cases, these residences are bought for the lifestyle they represent with the financial investment aspect being a secondary concern.”
 

The luxury market in Quebec remains relatively healthy, with 39 per cent of real estate advisors surveyed saying that sales activity in this category increased since January of last year, and over half (54 per cent) feeling that it has increased over the last decade. When asked about foreign buyer activity in their area, 58 per cent of real estate advisors believe that less than 10 per cent of luxury real estate purchases in the province are made by foreign buyers.
 

“In comparison to the rest of the province, the luxury real estate segment in the Montreal region has been particularly healthy over the past ten years, with performance in 2015 having been especially strong.  The Quebec economy, along with consumer confidence, is showing signs of noticeable improvement and is by extension fostering increased interest and activity in the Montreal real estate market,” said Marie-Yvonne Paint, real estate professional Royal LePage Heritage. “Amongst these transactions, prestigious homes remain most popular with local buyers, with a small proportion of these purchases being attributable to foreign buyers. In the luxury apartment segment, the proportion of purchases made by foreign buyers is slightly higher.”
 


Regional Market Data  


The following chart provides price[2]  and attribute comparisons between areas that met Royal LePage Carriage Trade Luxury Properties requirements[3] in 2005 and 2015 in the four regions studied.  The data shows significant price appreciation in Canada’s luxury neighbourhoods across all four regions. The Greater Vancouver luxury property market leads the country with a ten-year price increase of 125 per cent across Carriage Trade Luxury Properties designated areas, followed by the Greater Toronto Area (69 per cent), Calgary (61 per cent) and the Greater Montreal Area (58 per cent).
 

Region

Year

Beds

Baths

Living Area (Sq.Ft.)

Lot Size (Sq.Ft.)

Year Built

Average Value ($)

% Increase 2005/2015

Greater Vancouver

2005

3.4

2.7

3,140

15,517

1979

2,658,236

125%

Greater Vancouver

2015

3.6

2.8

3,122

14,388

1974

5,987,945

Calgary

2005

3.0

2.3

2,356

8,429

1974

1,438,728

61%

Calgary

2015

3.0

2.4

2,453

8,372

1969

2,317,617

Greater Toronto Area

2005

4.0

3.1

3,119

11,888

1960

2,022,943

69%

Greater Toronto Area

2015

4.0

3.1

3,204

11,790

1962

3,423,867

Greater Montreal Area

2005

4.0

2.5

3,054

8,058

1955

1,318,707

58%

Greater Montreal Area

2015

4.0

2.5

3,078

7,623

1956

2,088,998

 

 

Sample Neighbourhood Price & Attribute Comparison


The following charts provide sample neighbourhood price and attribute comparisons between Royal LePage Carriage Trade Luxury Properties designated micro neighbourhoods in 2005 and 2015 in the four regions studied.  The Greater Vancouver neighbourhoods of Point Grey and West Vancouver lead this group with a ten-year price increase of 135 per cent, respectively, followed by the Greater Toronto Area neighbourhoods of Lawrence West and Rosedale (76 per cent and 65 per cent increases, respectively). The neighbourhoods of Outremont and Westmount in the Greater Montreal Area showed healthy price appreciation with a ten-year price increase of 64 per cent and 51 per cent, respectively, as did Calgary’s Elbow Park and Mount Royal, which saw increases of 54 per cent and 27 per cent, respectively.

 

Region

Neighbourhood

Year

Beds

Baths

Living Area (Sq.Ft.)

Lot Size (Sq.Ft.)

Year Built

Average Value ($)

% Increase 2005/2015

Greater Vancouver

Point Grey

2005

3.2

2.5

2,511

11,468

1972

3,414,628

135%

Greater Vancouver

Point Grey

2015

3.2

2.5

2,511

11,468

1972

8,008,455

Greater Vancouver

West Vancouver

2005

3.4

2.7

3,380

17,324

1982

2,605,566

135%

Greater Vancouver

West Vancouver

2015

3.5

2.8

3,546

18,892

1982

6,112,387

Calgary

Elbow Park

2005

3.1

2.3

2,220

6,793

1967

1,424,532

54%

Calgary

Elbow Park

2015

3.1

2.3

2,220

6,793

1967

2,190,898

Calgary

Mount Royal

2005

3.2

2.5

2,918

9,828

1958

2,210,027

27%

Calgary

Mount Royal

2015

3.2

2.5

2,918

9,828

1958

2,806,519

GTA

Lawrence West

2005

4

2.5

2,945

10,618

1963

1,976,508

76%

GTA

Lawrence West

2015

4.1

2.5

2,953

10,406

1960

3,472,589

GTA

Rosedale

2005

4.3

2.8

3,206

6,344

1921

2,099,604

65%

GTA

Rosedale

2015

4.4

2.9

3,284

6,549

1921

3,456,598

GMA

Outremont

2005

4.0

2.3

2,891

5,728

1930

1,089,248

64%

GMA

Outremont

2015

4.0

2.4

2,946

5,782

1927

1,787,840

GMA

Westmount

2005

4.3

2.8

3,449

6,298

1933

1,819,127

51%

GMA

Westmount

2015

4.3

2.8

3,449

6,298

1933

2,751,418




For a copy of the full Royal LePage Carriage Trade Luxury Properties Report, click here:
 

 

Survey Methodology


The Royal LePage Carriage Trade Luxury Properties Report polled 250 real estate advisors, specializing in luxury properties across Canada, between February 26 and March 9, 2016.  Each respondent was asked to complete a survey composed of 31 questions spanning a variety of topics including regional luxury market trends, buyer/seller demographics, foreign buyer activity and unit sales.  Separate interviews were conducted with regional luxury real estate professionals to validate the survey findings and acquire additional insight on the market’s overall drivers and performance.

For the survey, luxury properties are defined as those which cost no less than four times the average home price in the Greater Toronto Area, Greater Vancouver, Greater Montreal Area and Calgary markets.



Royal LePage announces partnership with LuxuryRealEstate.com



Royal LePage has partnered with Who’s Who in Luxury Real Estate, a global network of the finest luxury real estate professionals featuring over 60,000 luxury properties on their award-winning website, LuxuryRealEstate.com.  With visitors from over 200 countries, this partnership will enable Royal LePage real estate professionals to maintain a global presence for their Royal LePage Carriage Trade luxury listings and offer unprecedented listing exposure for their clients.



About Royal LePage

Serving Canadians since 1913, Royal LePage is the country’s leading provider of services to real estate brokerages, with a network of over 16,000 real estate professionals in more than 600 locations nationwide. Royal LePage is the only Canadian real estate company to have its own charitable foundation, the Royal LePage Shelter Foundation, dedicated to supporting women’s and children’s shelters and educational programs aimed at ending domestic violence. Royal LePage is a Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc. company, a TSX-listed corporation trading under the symbol TSX:BRE.

 

For more information visit: www.royallepage.ca.


 
For further information, please contact:
Michael Jesus
Kaiser Lachance Communications
647.783.1807
michael.jesus@kaiserlachance.com
________________________________________
 
[1] For the purposes of the Report, “foreign buyers” are defined as buyers who live outside of Canada all, or most of the time.
[2] Pricing data is provided by Brookfield RPS and constitutes average price values for single-family homes in Royal LePage Carriage Trade areas/neighbourhoods.  Note: There may be individual homes in Carriage Trade areas/neighbourhoods that do not meet the requirements and homes outside of Carriage Trade areas that do meet the requirements.
[3] To qualify as a Royal LePage Carriage Trade area, the area needs to have an average home price at least four times higher than the average home price in the given city (“average home price”).


 


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